Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.564224 0.624376 0.689288 0.764716 0.850166 0.944207 1.055868
2025-09-07 0.468319 0.551242 0.647567 0.768463 0.917170 1.095426 1.327261
2025-09-14 0.406346 0.497863 0.609434 0.756887 0.948763 1.192934 1.531935
2025-09-21 0.363417 0.459576 0.581395 0.749241 0.977967 1.283891 1.732858
2025-09-28 0.322020 0.417637 0.542563 0.720619 0.972647 1.324039 1.864580
2025-10-05 0.303664 0.403547 0.538011 0.736132 1.027325 1.450629 2.133794
2025-10-12 0.286982 0.389744 0.531839 0.747585 1.075784 1.571659 2.408803
2025-10-19 0.270696 0.374813 0.522279 0.752341 1.113493 1.678956 2.674675
2025-10-26 0.256220 0.361121 0.513016 0.756035 1.148925 1.785180 2.951749
2025-11-02 0.244438 0.350338 0.506926 0.763559 1.190395 1.904694 3.267559
2025-11-09 0.227971 0.331282 0.486711 0.746604 1.189279 1.950971 3.454692
2025-11-16 0.219006 0.323005 0.482415 0.754821 1.231024 2.075877 3.808336
2025-11-23 0.207541 0.310269 0.470444 0.749701 1.249820 2.162942 4.104080
2025-11-30 0.198753 0.301203 0.463722 0.752890 1.283704 2.281981 4.485382
2025-12-07 0.187917 0.288122 0.449455 0.741607 1.289554 2.347178 4.760709
2025-12-14 0.178725 0.277153 0.437932 0.734144 1.301613 2.425569 5.077789
2025-12-21 0.166620 0.260673 0.416048 0.706204 1.271449 2.414197 5.184111
2025-12-28 0.162856 0.257952 0.417555 0.721348 1.327367 2.588981 5.767780
2026-01-04 0.158667 0.254237 0.417032 0.732527 1.376230 2.754431 6.359762
2026-01-11 0.153720 0.248918 0.413296 0.737169 1.411885 2.894784 6.913726
2026-01-18 0.148937 0.243613 0.409227 0.740775 1.445571 3.034656 7.494401
2026-01-25 0.144982 0.239550 0.407152 0.748118 1.487963 3.200280 8.182727
2026-02-01 0.137984 0.229682 0.393766 0.731570 1.475808 3.232309 8.484686